Maverick 21:17 PM - Aug 30 2022

Stock Market Day Ahead - August 31, 2022 - SPY - 396/400; QQQ consolidation; good luck BBBY apes! 🦍

SPY | SPX Trading Plans (Wednesday)
  • I’ve got no position heading into Wednesday.
  • Swing - Buy:  I’ll be looking to buy calls off another 396 test.
  • Swing - Sell: If I get them, I’ll be looking at 400 as exit level - though if Friday weren’t in the way - I’d be looking for more.
  • I’m looking at Friday do make a bigger move - but how I play it will depend on technical situation on Thursday.  Keeping it in mind.

Review & Analysis…..

What Happened Today (Tuesday)
  • SPY traded in a range of 396 to 404
  • The selling pressure (and lack of buyers) continued and we slammed right into the 396 level and bounced. Pleased by that, as that was my level.
  • I was thinking I was going to exit my calls for a tidy profit looking at premarket - we were almost 407!  It ate it by the open.
  • The open at 404 ended up being high of the day and we just kept pressing down and then I exited on the JOLTS data which was bearish for market.
  • I played SPX puts down to 396 and made back most of my losses.  Still, very unsatisfactory, because I was in the right play yesterday before flip flopping.
  • Today was confirmation of what we expected: Jobs data matters.
  • I exited the BBBY calls at the open for a little profit.  That was fun.  It went a little higher after I sold, but it dropped to 11.50 from 15.00 by end of day.  I hope it does well at business update tomorrow.


Technicals (Latest)
  • SPY levels:  390, 396, 400, 405, 410
  • Chart - Weekly: Bearish - important crossing of the Ripster Clouds happened as expected. This is big break in trend to the downside.
  • Chart - Daily: Bearish - Pullback continues.  Still some room to go down, but bounce is on horizon.
  • Chart - 4h: Bearish - We’re in oversold now.  This one in particular can press on for a few days - so I wouldn’t take the bait quite yet - but be ready for a bounce.

Looking Ahead (Tuesday)
  • I really wanted to hold just one SPX call overnight, but I missed that by 1 second (literally) on the fill at 4:15pm. We’ll see if I was lucky or had bad timing.  A bounce is coming - and may have already started off that 396 test.
  • We’ve got Mester at 8am, but that’s it - what else can they say?
  • There is ADP jobs data, but their value is questionable due to changed formula.  It will take time to build credibility back up, I think.
  • We do have international (Europe) CPI data in premarket.  That’s likely to make the DXY dance which we know makes the SPY dance.
  • Otherwise - not much else on Wednesday is expected.  
  • I expect to see mostly consolidation on Wednesday as we work out technical and wind up for Friday’s main event.

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Maverick's Moves

Created By: Maverick
Created: Feb 8, 2021
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I trade SPY, QQQ, and specific story sectors using technical analysis and gut rubs.

I'll post my thoughts and market moves here.

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