Stock Market Day Ahead - August 31, 2022 - SPY - 396/400; QQQ consolidation; good luck BBBY apes! 🦍
SPY | SPX Trading Plans (Wednesday)
- I’ve got no position heading into Wednesday.
- Swing - Buy: I’ll be looking to buy calls off another 396 test.
- Swing - Sell: If I get them, I’ll be looking at 400 as exit level - though if Friday weren’t in the way - I’d be looking for more.
- I’m looking at Friday do make a bigger move - but how I play it will depend on technical situation on Thursday. Keeping it in mind.
Review & Analysis…..
What Happened Today (Tuesday)
- SPY traded in a range of 396 to 404
- The selling pressure (and lack of buyers) continued and we slammed right into the 396 level and bounced. Pleased by that, as that was my level.
- I was thinking I was going to exit my calls for a tidy profit looking at premarket - we were almost 407! It ate it by the open.
- The open at 404 ended up being high of the day and we just kept pressing down and then I exited on the JOLTS data which was bearish for market.
- I played SPX puts down to 396 and made back most of my losses. Still, very unsatisfactory, because I was in the right play yesterday before flip flopping.
- Today was confirmation of what we expected: Jobs data matters.
- I exited the BBBY calls at the open for a little profit. That was fun. It went a little higher after I sold, but it dropped to 11.50 from 15.00 by end of day. I hope it does well at business update tomorrow.
Technicals (Latest)
- SPY levels: 390, 396, 400, 405, 410
- Chart - Weekly: Bearish - important crossing of the Ripster Clouds happened as expected. This is big break in trend to the downside.
- Chart - Daily: Bearish - Pullback continues. Still some room to go down, but bounce is on horizon.
- Chart - 4h: Bearish - We’re in oversold now. This one in particular can press on for a few days - so I wouldn’t take the bait quite yet - but be ready for a bounce.
Looking Ahead (Tuesday)
- I really wanted to hold just one SPX call overnight, but I missed that by 1 second (literally) on the fill at 4:15pm. We’ll see if I was lucky or had bad timing. A bounce is coming - and may have already started off that 396 test.
- We’ve got Mester at 8am, but that’s it - what else can they say?
- There is ADP jobs data, but their value is questionable due to changed formula. It will take time to build credibility back up, I think.
- We do have international (Europe) CPI data in premarket. That’s likely to make the DXY dance which we know makes the SPY dance.
- Otherwise - not much else on Wednesday is expected.
- I expect to see mostly consolidation on Wednesday as we work out technical and wind up for Friday’s main event.
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Maverick's Moves
Created By: | Maverick |
Created: | Feb 8, 2021 |
Total Followers: | 13 |
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I trade SPY, QQQ, and specific story sectors using technical analysis and gut rubs.
I'll post my thoughts and market moves here.
Twitter: twitter.com/stonks_maverick
Substack: mavericksmoves.substack.com
I'll post my thoughts and market moves here.
Twitter: twitter.com/stonks_maverick
Substack: mavericksmoves.substack.com