Stock Market Day Ahead - September 22, 2022 - SPY - 370/377; that happened. š» š
What Happened Today (Wednesday)
- SPY traded 389 to 377
- I didnāt let the strangle play out - I tried to āoptimizeā it after the 2pm announcement and that messed it all up. Had a small loss. That didnāt stop me from making what is so far the right moveā¦.
- I had that one SPXp that I wanted to add to - I added two more when we were over 386. Looking very good here in afterhours - if we open anywhere near here, Iām out and not messing with 373.
- It came in at 75bps - no surprise to anybody. The ābad newsā that Samosa gets kudos for being prepared for was the projected Fed Funds Rate - they moved that up.
- JPow was his normal magical self. While he was speaking - for the most part- we were pushing new highs of the day. When he walked off the stage, the gates of hell started opening up.
- He was saying bearish things, but his tone was very pleasant and made you enjoy your medicine. He almost lured me into calls!
- He really just confirmed what he said at JHole - and held that line - which we know how that went. He repeated multiple times he is not stopping or dropping rate until inflation is tame.
Technicals (Latest)
- SPY levels: [UNSURE BELOW 373], 373, 380, 390
- Chart - Weekly: Bearish - curling down fully in motion now - got it right that time.
- Chart - Daily: Bearish - but I expect 373 to put up a fight - and will be oversold on chart. If it breaks thatā¦.
- Chart - 4h: Bearish - itās nearing oversold, but 4h loves to push through on bottom end of RSI.
Looking Ahead (Thursday)
- Thereās jobless claims at 0830 but I suspect they wonāt matter if weāre down 3-4 points in premarket/overnight.
- I don't think Putin got the world reaction he wanted, so he's still out there as a wild card.
- I remain bearish for the time being ā check the Weekly Chart again which is what Iām hanging my cowboy hat on.
SPY | SPX Trading Plans (Thursday)
- If weāre near/below 373, Iāll be looking to exit and sit on sidelines and take a breather. Weād be oversold at that point - though I canāt see a reason for a bounce, only a dead cat one. I'd just re-enter the puts on that.
- I donāt see any entry trades for Thursday.
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Maverick's Moves
Created By: | Maverick |
Created: | Feb 8, 2021 |
Total Followers: | 13 |
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I trade SPY, QQQ, and specific story sectors using technical analysis and gut rubs.
I'll post my thoughts and market moves here.
Twitter: twitter.com/stonks_maverick
Substack: mavericksmoves.substack.com
I'll post my thoughts and market moves here.
Twitter: twitter.com/stonks_maverick
Substack: mavericksmoves.substack.com