Maverick 23:46 PM - Mar 16 2022

Market Update: March 16, 2022

Screen Shot 2022-03-16 at 23.45.52.png 346.43 KB


Follow up to Sunday's Week Ahead: stonks.chat/group/7/posts/220 & Tuesday's Update: stonks.chat/group/7/posts/223

What Happened Today (Wednesday)
  • Ukraine/Russia - more talks, Zelenskyy addressed US Congress this morning, Putin did his normal responses (that I give up on trying to understand), Biden responded and sent over some new war equipment.  Some positive sentiment/home on this front that sustained.
  • FOMC came in as expected.  0.25%, plan of 6 more hikes (total of 7 this year), and said they'll address the balance sheet at an upcoming meeting (May, I assume). cnbc.com/2022/03/16/federal-re...
  • JPow was very soothing, he was back to his old self, and the market loved it.
  • The SPY immediately sold off by about 5-6 points as soon as the FOMC Summary was released - sell the news moment.  Then JPOw took the mic at 2:30pm and it was rally mode from that moment on.  Just look at the chart, amazing: +10 points in 2 hours -- off the intraday bottom that was set from the FOMC minutes being released at 2pm.  You could have made a fortune if you timed that one right.  I did not. 🤡
  • TRADE: I made several SPY/QQQ trades; one earlier than planned, mostly fumbled the ball on that initial dip, then I clawed back most of my mistake.  Smartest move?  Sticking to the original plan I posted last night of waiting until after he starts speaking to go in.  That would have literally been perfect timing. 🤦‍♂️
  • A good day for the bulls, relief rally well in progress now.

Looking Ahead (Thursday)
  • Nothing market moving on the economic calendar.
  • Thursday, the focus shifts back to Russia/Ukraine conflict + riding the highs of JPow's love letter on Thursday.
  • Chart (above): As I posted last night, I went bullish looking at that chart pending JPow coming in as expected.  That played out today.  Looking at tonight's chart, I think we're headed to 440 before this slows down.  
  • Today was very positive on several key fronts.  It broke through 430 which was a big line in the sand and is now sitting at 435.  Unless something spooks the market overnight, I think the relief rally continues.
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Maverick's Moves

Created By: Maverick
Created: Feb 8, 2021
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I trade SPY, QQQ, and specific story sectors using technical analysis and gut rubs.

I'll post my thoughts and market moves here.

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