Maverick 23:36 PM - May 31 2022

Market Day Ahead - June 1, 2022 - SPY QQQ held 410/305 support; Fri 420? Eyes on VIX 👀

Market Day Ahead - June 1, 2022 - SPY QQQ held 410/305 support; Wednesday option grinder; Thu/Fri 420?

What Happened Today (Tuesday)
  • After Sunday’s soul searching…..got today right.
  • I was able to exit those puts I held over weekend - for a tiny profit (I was down 30% at the close on Friday) - about 5 minutes after the open.
  • 4h chart is where it’s at right now
  • Critically for the bulls, SPY 410 held and QQQ 305 held; we then traded in a range of 412-416 rest of they
  • We then closed at 413 (it gave up a couple points in the last few minutes)
  • JPow and Biden met today - non-event.  I sure hope they talked about more than was announced.
  • I exited IPI at 68 (from 75) just to clean house - but damn lookin at the chart tonight - it’s gorgeous.  I may jump back in on a trade if it starts to go, because it easily moves 5+ on a good day.

Looking Ahead (Wednesday)
  • Tuesday’s action looks bullish to me.  410/305 holding was important.  It consolidated, which was needed after this 25 point run in a few days.
  • I don’t think I’d be in a rush to buy anything, really, on Tuesday.  It’s likely to be an option grinder sideways while more technical overbought conditions are worked out on the 30m/1h - those came under overbought area nicely today.  Still room to go up on 4h/D/W when it’s time.
  • Samosa and I are both eyeing March 14-31, 2022 as guidance for right now.  On that note, take a look at the VIX chart below for that time period.  It, too, looks similar.  It was fighting to stay above 29/30.  Once that broke, the market roared.  I think we’re seeing same thing at 26 here, which has been VIX support for a while now.  If that breaks, I’m buying calls with both hands.
  • With nothing really on economic agenda that matters for next few days - it’s possible if it grind out those techincals
  • Bullard speaks at 1pm EST
  • On watch: WEAT (to exit this dog), IPI for a trade (chart is gorgeous)
  • SPY levels: 407 > 410 > 416 > 425 (big gap there, not sure there..)
  • I’m looking for SPY to top out around 425/430 before switching back to puts.

VIX 4h
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SPY 4h


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Comments

samosa - 1 year ago
The March trend is our friend

Maverick's Moves

Created By: Maverick
Created: Feb 8, 2021
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I trade SPY, QQQ, and specific story sectors using technical analysis and gut rubs.

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