samosa 21:57 PM - Jun 27 2022

Tuesday, June 28th Market Preview

Current Positions:
  • Holding all cash heading into tomorrow. 

What happened? 
  • The market opened up green and immediately started coming back down under 390, and hung around 388 pretty much all day. 
  • It was a flat choppy mess all day that stuck around VWAP. 
  • Honestly the only takeaway I have from today is how strong the market was to hold most of Friday's gains and not completely sell off.

What to Expect?
  • Tuesday has a data release at 10am that could spark the market a bit more with the Consumer confidence index.
  • There are some major landmines this week on the calendar. But nothing until Wednesday morning.
  • Wednesday - GDP data in premarket, JPow speaking at European Economic Conference at 9am. 
  • Thursday - PCE inflation data is released in premarket (this is the Fed's preferred metric)

What Do I Think?
  • Technicals - We are no longer overbought on the 30 min and 1 hour charts. So neutral on those charts plus the 4hour and Daily charts. 
  • Technicals - We are holding above 385 pretty well, but I see that test is slowly coming.  
  • We have a gap to fill up to 400 on SPY. This should get filled as long as the economic data this week does not come in too hot. 

THE PLAY OF THE DAY
  • If we retest 385 on Tuesday, I will grab calls as I think we retest 390 again and ultimately head to 400. 
  • I am not seeing much of a reason to play puts here unless we just knife right through 383. That would signal a 380 test is coming, so a quick scalp could be had. 
  • However, I will be looking at calls at 385, and if the market keep diving, I will double up at 380. 
  • If we break under 380 soundly, then I know any play on calls is risky. 
  • I will not be holding anything overnight on Tuesday and Wednesday due to the economic data releases happening in premarket the next day. 
  • As always all of this is my opinion and not financial advice. 

Levels I am Watching
  • $SPY - levels 380 > 383 > 385 > 387 > 390 > 397 > 400
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Comments

Maverick - 1 year ago
Bring on 385....

Bones Tradez

Created By: Bones
Created: Mar 2, 2022
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